Sorry for the long layoff guys. Between internet issues and traveling to a wedding I have had no time to do a post.
There are 3 undefeated teams left in the NFL, but what does that mean. Well the NFL says that a team that starts 3 - 0 has a 78% chance to make the playoffs, but at least one team who started 3-0 in each of the last 3 seasons has not made the playoffs.
So this year who is in, who is out, and what does 3-0 mean this year?
The three undefeated teams are the Chicago Bears, the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the Kansas City Chiefs. There is only one team on this list that 3-0 means something: the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are missing their first, second, and third string Quarterbacks, but still are undefeated. Furthermore this team has played good teams. This team will make the playoffs, and I think is a serious contender to play in the Super Bowl.
The Bears and the Chiefs can may make the playoffs but neither team is ready to make a move towards being a serious contender. The Chiefs will play some real competition this week and I predict a huge loss.
The Bears are another thing all together. It is possible that they will go 7-0 before they play a team who can really compete with them. This does not mean they are good, it means that this is a down season in the NFL, and a team that can start 7-0 based on schedule could also go 7-9 when they get to playing the big boys in the second half.
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
Monday, September 20, 2010
Internet Outage
I currently am without internet. Once I get my internet access back I will continue to post a daily post on sports.
Friday, September 17, 2010
NFL Week 2 picks
Miami @ Minnesota -5.5 +/- 39.5
Minnesota to win and cover. Take the over.
Arizona @ Atlanta -6.5 +/- 43.5
Atlanta to win but not cover. Take the under.
Baltimore -2.5 @ Cincinnati +/- 39.5
Baltimore to win and cover on the road. Take the under.
Kansas City @ Cleveland -1.5 +/- 38.5
Kansas City wins the upset. Take the over.
Chicago @ Dallas - 7.5 +/-40.5
Dallas will win and cover, and take the over.
Philadelphia -6.5 @ Detroit +/- 41.5
Philadelphia to win but not cover on the road. Take the under.
Buffalo @ Green Bay -13.5 +/-43.5
Green Bay covers, and while they could score 42 points by themselves I still take the under.
Pittsburg @ Tennessee -5.5 +/- 37.5
Tennessee wins and covers, but I still like the under.
Tampa Bay @ Carolina -3.5 +/- 39.5
Tampa Bay pulls the upset on the road. Take the over.
Seattle @ Denver -3.5 +/- 40.5
Seattle wins big, take the over.
St. Louis @ Oakland -3.5 +/- 37.5
Oakland wins but does not cover, take the under.
New England -2.5 @ NY Jets +/- 38.5
New England wins and covers on the road. Take the over.
Jacksonville @ San Diego -7.5 +/- 45.5
San Diego covers, take the under.
Houston -2.5 @ Washington +/- 43.5
Houston wins and covers, take the under.
NY Giants @ Indianapolis -5.5 +/-48.5
Indianapolis covers and take the over.
New Orleans -5.5 @ San Francisco +/-43.5
New Orleans wins but does not cover, take the under.
Minnesota to win and cover. Take the over.
Arizona @ Atlanta -6.5 +/- 43.5
Atlanta to win but not cover. Take the under.
Baltimore -2.5 @ Cincinnati +/- 39.5
Baltimore to win and cover on the road. Take the under.
Kansas City @ Cleveland -1.5 +/- 38.5
Kansas City wins the upset. Take the over.
Chicago @ Dallas - 7.5 +/-40.5
Dallas will win and cover, and take the over.
Philadelphia -6.5 @ Detroit +/- 41.5
Philadelphia to win but not cover on the road. Take the under.
Buffalo @ Green Bay -13.5 +/-43.5
Green Bay covers, and while they could score 42 points by themselves I still take the under.
Pittsburg @ Tennessee -5.5 +/- 37.5
Tennessee wins and covers, but I still like the under.
Tampa Bay @ Carolina -3.5 +/- 39.5
Tampa Bay pulls the upset on the road. Take the over.
Seattle @ Denver -3.5 +/- 40.5
Seattle wins big, take the over.
St. Louis @ Oakland -3.5 +/- 37.5
Oakland wins but does not cover, take the under.
New England -2.5 @ NY Jets +/- 38.5
New England wins and covers on the road. Take the over.
Jacksonville @ San Diego -7.5 +/- 45.5
San Diego covers, take the under.
Houston -2.5 @ Washington +/- 43.5
Houston wins and covers, take the under.
NY Giants @ Indianapolis -5.5 +/-48.5
Indianapolis covers and take the over.
New Orleans -5.5 @ San Francisco +/-43.5
New Orleans wins but does not cover, take the under.
Thursday, September 16, 2010
Derek Jeter Hit By Pitch, Fair or Foul?
The events of last night have the sports world in an uproar.
Derek Jeter took an inside pitch that seemed to hit him near the hand or wrist. In a big show of pain he hopped around and was awarded first base. The problem? The ball never hit him, it hit the end of his bat. Technically this was a foul ball and a strike and Jeter should have continued his at bat, but instead he was on first base when the next batter hit a home run giving the Yankee's a lead.
This situation raised two questions: Should baseball expand instant replay and did Derek Jeter cheat?
Baseball is a game of statistics and history. This is why there is so much resistance to adding and expanding instant replay. The historical side says mistakes have always been part of the game and technology removed the charm of the human element. They say it will slow down the game. They say that it will be overused. They say it will take away from the umpire's authority.
The replay supporters say that the fans want to see the correct calls. The players deserve to have the came called accurately. They say it would take less time than manager arguments. They say that technology is to the point where it would be noninvasive.
I would not mind seeing more replay, provided it was done correctly. No replay on balls and strikes, and stop making the umps go watch a video. Have an ump in a booth watching the game and on close plays where the on field ump gets it wrong he radio's down the correct call.
Easy right?
Now what about is Derek Jeter a cheater. The answer is I don't know. But I have no problem with what he did. I think that is the difference between gamesmanship and cheating. In my opinion cheating is using something outside of the game to get an advantage in the game. Examples include HGH, steroids, corked bats, foreign substances on the ball, using video cameras to steal signals, etc. Gamesmanship is using the rules or situations of a game to an advantage in the game. Faking getting hit by the ball is not cheating, it is just smart play.
Derek Jeter took an inside pitch that seemed to hit him near the hand or wrist. In a big show of pain he hopped around and was awarded first base. The problem? The ball never hit him, it hit the end of his bat. Technically this was a foul ball and a strike and Jeter should have continued his at bat, but instead he was on first base when the next batter hit a home run giving the Yankee's a lead.
This situation raised two questions: Should baseball expand instant replay and did Derek Jeter cheat?
Baseball is a game of statistics and history. This is why there is so much resistance to adding and expanding instant replay. The historical side says mistakes have always been part of the game and technology removed the charm of the human element. They say it will slow down the game. They say that it will be overused. They say it will take away from the umpire's authority.
The replay supporters say that the fans want to see the correct calls. The players deserve to have the came called accurately. They say it would take less time than manager arguments. They say that technology is to the point where it would be noninvasive.
I would not mind seeing more replay, provided it was done correctly. No replay on balls and strikes, and stop making the umps go watch a video. Have an ump in a booth watching the game and on close plays where the on field ump gets it wrong he radio's down the correct call.
Easy right?
Now what about is Derek Jeter a cheater. The answer is I don't know. But I have no problem with what he did. I think that is the difference between gamesmanship and cheating. In my opinion cheating is using something outside of the game to get an advantage in the game. Examples include HGH, steroids, corked bats, foreign substances on the ball, using video cameras to steal signals, etc. Gamesmanship is using the rules or situations of a game to an advantage in the game. Faking getting hit by the ball is not cheating, it is just smart play.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Interview!
Check out my interview on my friend Abby's blog!
http://abbyminard.blogspot.com/2010/09/interview-with-aspiring-author-andy.html
http://abbyminard.blogspot.com/2010/09/interview-with-aspiring-author-andy.html
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Reggie Bush Gives Up His Heisman
It true, Reggie Bush has volunteered to give up his Heisman Trophy. What is not clear is if he was told that it was going to stripped away from him tonight by the Heisman trust tonight anyway. However, I do think it is the right move to get in front of this and give up the honor to remove the distraction from your team.
Again I must appologize for the brevity of my post today but I am under the weather, but I will be back tomorrow better than ever.
Again I must appologize for the brevity of my post today but I am under the weather, but I will be back tomorrow better than ever.
Monday, September 13, 2010
Breaking Fantasy Football Advice
My entry today will be short and sweet due to massive time constraints. If you play fantasy football start Legedu Naanee today. That is all.
Sunday, September 12, 2010
Football Is Back
I have worshiped at the alter of sport. I have drunk deep of the life giving flood of football. I have watched with awe and wonder as modern day gladiators have done battle before the cheering masses in the tradition of ancient Romans before them.
I love football. There is something so beautiful about the game. The graceful moves, the pure power, the tension, the heartbreak, sweet sweet victory.
Football is such a release for me.
Got to go, the game's on.
I love football. There is something so beautiful about the game. The graceful moves, the pure power, the tension, the heartbreak, sweet sweet victory.
Football is such a release for me.
Got to go, the game's on.
Saturday, September 11, 2010
A Break Down of the NFL labor issues
There is a chance that this is there will not be football next season. This is because the collective bargaining agreement expires in April. They player's union and the NFL have been negotiating for several months, but currently they seem to be very far apart. The average sports fan does not want to worry about this, but I think it is important to understand where both sides are coming from. The worst part of this is that both sides are right, which is what is making this agreement hard to arrange.
Keep in mind that the work stoppage would be a lockout and not a strike. This means that as a whole the players union is happy enough with the way things are that they would continue to play. It is the owners who opted out of the CBA. It is the owners who would stop football from being played.
However, since the CBA is being renegotiated the players do have things that they would be willing to change.
The Owners (AKA the NFL):
18 Game Schedule - The owners are taking a loss in the preseason because season ticket holders have to pay the same price for preseason games that they do for regular season games. And in order to keep season tickets you have to buy the preseason. Also much fewer people watch the preseason so TV revenue goes down. By moving to 18 games, everyone makes more money. This is going to happen whether the players want it or not.
Rookie Wage Scale - Rookie pay has skyrocketed in the last 10 years. Sam Bradford, this year's first overall pick in the draft got more guaranteed money in his rookie contract than Joey Harrington (the third overall pick in 2002) got in his whole contract. The NFL has proposed a rookie wage scale similiar to that in the NBA, with consession that the first $100 million saved under the wage scale would go to the player's retirement plan and to help retired veteran players.
Player's Percentage - Under the current CBA the players get 60% of the NFL's shared revenue (which is a misleading figured due to the fact that the owners get a BILLION dollar cut of the revenue before the players 60% is taken out.) The owners want to change that cut to 50% (while still keeping the billion dollar cut)
Debt Relief - Over half of the league has had new stadiums build within the last twenty years. Someone has to pay for those stadium, you know besides the the tax payers I mean.
Retirement Plan Protection- The NFL does not want to have to pay for the medical bills and retirment plans of retired players. They argue that taking care of retired players is the players union's job.
Recovery of Guaranteed Money- The owners want to be able to take money back from players who are unable to meet the terms of their contract due to stupidity, irresponsibility, or criminal behavior. (AKA the Michael Vick rule)
Drug, Steroid, and HGH testing
The Players Union (AKA the Players):
Fewer Games - Keep the season at 16 games and eliminate two games from the preseason. More games mean more injuries. The owners can avoid taking a loss and the players can be healthier and put a better product on the field.
Player's Percentage - At least stays at 60% after the billion dollar cut, or becomes a true 60% cut.
Retirement - The players want the league to pay for retirement and disability, not just the player's union.
Shorter rookie contracts/incentive pay - The players want shorter rookie contracts (max 3 years) with accelerators included in them to pay players more if they play better.
There are many other issues included in this discussion. However these seem to be the main sticking points. Where do you agree with each side?
Keep in mind that the work stoppage would be a lockout and not a strike. This means that as a whole the players union is happy enough with the way things are that they would continue to play. It is the owners who opted out of the CBA. It is the owners who would stop football from being played.
However, since the CBA is being renegotiated the players do have things that they would be willing to change.
The Owners (AKA the NFL):
18 Game Schedule - The owners are taking a loss in the preseason because season ticket holders have to pay the same price for preseason games that they do for regular season games. And in order to keep season tickets you have to buy the preseason. Also much fewer people watch the preseason so TV revenue goes down. By moving to 18 games, everyone makes more money. This is going to happen whether the players want it or not.
Rookie Wage Scale - Rookie pay has skyrocketed in the last 10 years. Sam Bradford, this year's first overall pick in the draft got more guaranteed money in his rookie contract than Joey Harrington (the third overall pick in 2002) got in his whole contract. The NFL has proposed a rookie wage scale similiar to that in the NBA, with consession that the first $100 million saved under the wage scale would go to the player's retirement plan and to help retired veteran players.
Player's Percentage - Under the current CBA the players get 60% of the NFL's shared revenue (which is a misleading figured due to the fact that the owners get a BILLION dollar cut of the revenue before the players 60% is taken out.) The owners want to change that cut to 50% (while still keeping the billion dollar cut)
Debt Relief - Over half of the league has had new stadiums build within the last twenty years. Someone has to pay for those stadium, you know besides the the tax payers I mean.
Retirement Plan Protection- The NFL does not want to have to pay for the medical bills and retirment plans of retired players. They argue that taking care of retired players is the players union's job.
Recovery of Guaranteed Money- The owners want to be able to take money back from players who are unable to meet the terms of their contract due to stupidity, irresponsibility, or criminal behavior. (AKA the Michael Vick rule)
Drug, Steroid, and HGH testing
The Players Union (AKA the Players):
Fewer Games - Keep the season at 16 games and eliminate two games from the preseason. More games mean more injuries. The owners can avoid taking a loss and the players can be healthier and put a better product on the field.
Player's Percentage - At least stays at 60% after the billion dollar cut, or becomes a true 60% cut.
Retirement - The players want the league to pay for retirement and disability, not just the player's union.
Shorter rookie contracts/incentive pay - The players want shorter rookie contracts (max 3 years) with accelerators included in them to pay players more if they play better.
There are many other issues included in this discussion. However these seem to be the main sticking points. Where do you agree with each side?
Friday, September 10, 2010
NFL Opening and MLB managers Part 1
Oh to have the problems that the NFL has!
The most popular game in America came back with a vengeance last night. The Vikings-Saints game carried 28% of the America TV viewer last night.
This is why the NFL has a guaranteed $4.4 billion coming to the league from TV networks next season even if there is not a single game played.
But that is not to say the NFL does not have problems. Last night the players sent a message to the owners that if there is a lockout the players will stand together. In case you missed it, after the national anthem players from both teams, lead by Drew Brees, walked onto the field and faced each other with their index fingers lifted to ceiling in a show of solidarity against the owners.
The message was clear, this is not 1987, and players will not be crossing the lines to play football.
While the gesture was well received at the game, it seems that fans generally are split on their feelings about it.
This is part of the problem, fans love the players, but fans are loyal to the teams. And in what is perceived as an argument between millionaires and billionaires, the fans who are paying a premium for the product and are still siding with the billionaires who are taking their money.
Then there is the problem of the opening game. Tradition dictates that the Super Bowl champs open the season. And what's better than a rematch between the NFL championship contenders from last year? The only problem? It was a rematch between two offensive powerhouses, and in the first two weeks of the season NFL offenses tend to underperform. (with the notable exception of Brees' huge game to start the season last year) So while you have what looks like a great matchup with marquee teams and players, (Do you really think the game would have gotten an 18 rating if Tavares Jackson was starting for the Vikings?) turned out to be a bit of a snooze.
The silver lining of course was the rating.
Like I said, if only I could have the problems that then NFL has.
I told you yesterday that I was going to do a review the managers coming on the market after this season and today I am going to feature Ryan Sandberg and Joe Torre.
Ryan Sandberg is currently the favorite to be the next Cubs manager, but how good can he really be? He has made the playoffs at each minor league level that he has coached, and he knows the Cubs talent throughout the organization. But is he considered a big league type manager by other teams besides the Cubs? The answer is a firm maybe. Some see him as having a managerial potential on par with someone like Mike Scioscia, but others see him as a career coach. What is the answer? We will not know until someone gives him a shot. As a Cubs fan myself I am torn. Ryno was my favorite player growing up so I never want to be in a position in which I will want him to be fire, but I think that he could be the type of manager that the Cubs need to maybe finally win that elusive world series.
Joe Torre is kind of the anti-Sandberg. He has been managing baseball forever and you know exactly what you are going to get if you bring him in. But the question is at 72 years of age, how much more baseball does he have in him? It is conventional wisdom the Torre is gone from LA at the end of the year, but where will he end up. To be successful he needs to go to a talented veteran team that is ready to win, or else you risk having a Lou Pinella situation.
Come back tomorrow for a breakdown of the labor issue in the NFL
The most popular game in America came back with a vengeance last night. The Vikings-Saints game carried 28% of the America TV viewer last night.
This is why the NFL has a guaranteed $4.4 billion coming to the league from TV networks next season even if there is not a single game played.
But that is not to say the NFL does not have problems. Last night the players sent a message to the owners that if there is a lockout the players will stand together. In case you missed it, after the national anthem players from both teams, lead by Drew Brees, walked onto the field and faced each other with their index fingers lifted to ceiling in a show of solidarity against the owners.
The message was clear, this is not 1987, and players will not be crossing the lines to play football.
While the gesture was well received at the game, it seems that fans generally are split on their feelings about it.
This is part of the problem, fans love the players, but fans are loyal to the teams. And in what is perceived as an argument between millionaires and billionaires, the fans who are paying a premium for the product and are still siding with the billionaires who are taking their money.
Then there is the problem of the opening game. Tradition dictates that the Super Bowl champs open the season. And what's better than a rematch between the NFL championship contenders from last year? The only problem? It was a rematch between two offensive powerhouses, and in the first two weeks of the season NFL offenses tend to underperform. (with the notable exception of Brees' huge game to start the season last year) So while you have what looks like a great matchup with marquee teams and players, (Do you really think the game would have gotten an 18 rating if Tavares Jackson was starting for the Vikings?) turned out to be a bit of a snooze.
The silver lining of course was the rating.
Like I said, if only I could have the problems that then NFL has.
I told you yesterday that I was going to do a review the managers coming on the market after this season and today I am going to feature Ryan Sandberg and Joe Torre.
Ryan Sandberg is currently the favorite to be the next Cubs manager, but how good can he really be? He has made the playoffs at each minor league level that he has coached, and he knows the Cubs talent throughout the organization. But is he considered a big league type manager by other teams besides the Cubs? The answer is a firm maybe. Some see him as having a managerial potential on par with someone like Mike Scioscia, but others see him as a career coach. What is the answer? We will not know until someone gives him a shot. As a Cubs fan myself I am torn. Ryno was my favorite player growing up so I never want to be in a position in which I will want him to be fire, but I think that he could be the type of manager that the Cubs need to maybe finally win that elusive world series.
Joe Torre is kind of the anti-Sandberg. He has been managing baseball forever and you know exactly what you are going to get if you bring him in. But the question is at 72 years of age, how much more baseball does he have in him? It is conventional wisdom the Torre is gone from LA at the end of the year, but where will he end up. To be successful he needs to go to a talented veteran team that is ready to win, or else you risk having a Lou Pinella situation.
Come back tomorrow for a breakdown of the labor issue in the NFL
Thursday, September 9, 2010
I'm Back!
I know it does not have the same impact as when Michael Jordan said it, but after a 13 month hiatus I have decided to come back and write a daily sports blog. What you can expect is 500 words a day and a fresh take on the day’s news.
Quick Bits:
The Chicago Bulls are considering a trading Loul Deng and Joakim Noah to the Nuggets for Carmelo Anthony. It seems like Deng's contract is holding up this deal, but if Melo rejects the Nugget's contract extension, then take might force the Nuggets into this deal.
Tom Brady was in a car accident this morning, but was unhurt. In related news I left out a huge sigh of relief because my fantasy team needs him.
The Chicago White Sox have lost 4 of the last 5 games after a 7 game winning streak. This means that barring a sweep of the Twins next week their season is over. They are currently 6 games out of the division and 7.5 out of the wild card.
The San Diego Padres extended their division lead last night, but the NL west is still wide open. I am still hoping the Rockies can get hot and make a run from 4.5 games back to take it, but I think they only have about 12 wins left on their schedule which might be enough is the Padres did not play the Cubs the last 4 games of the season. But if I had to put money down right now as to who will come out of the NL West I would put it on the Giants.
It looks like Albert Pujols's cold streak will cost him any chance at a Triple Crown this season. It is a shame, because two weeks ago he lead the National League in home runs and RBIs and was only one point behind Joey Votto in batting average. Now Pujols is not even in the top 5 in the NL in batting average and is 3rd in RBIs.
Starlin Castro and Tyler Colvin have been the two bright spots for the Cubs this season. Castro looks to be the type of player who may win a couple batting titles in the next couple of years while Colvin seems like he will develop into an exciting everyday player. Now if only they could trade Zambrano and Soriano they might have the beginnings of a good young team.
The USA basketball team won its game against Russia today 89-79 and after the huge flap this week about the 72 Olympics I must report that it did not take 3 endings to finish the game. Now if only anyone cared about this basketball tournament…
It feels so good to be back writing about sports. Make sure you check back tomorrow as I examine what managers are going to be available at the end of this baseball season, and a recap of the first NFL game of the season.
Comments are always welcome
Quick Bits:
The Chicago Bulls are considering a trading Loul Deng and Joakim Noah to the Nuggets for Carmelo Anthony. It seems like Deng's contract is holding up this deal, but if Melo rejects the Nugget's contract extension, then take might force the Nuggets into this deal.
Tom Brady was in a car accident this morning, but was unhurt. In related news I left out a huge sigh of relief because my fantasy team needs him.
The Chicago White Sox have lost 4 of the last 5 games after a 7 game winning streak. This means that barring a sweep of the Twins next week their season is over. They are currently 6 games out of the division and 7.5 out of the wild card.
The San Diego Padres extended their division lead last night, but the NL west is still wide open. I am still hoping the Rockies can get hot and make a run from 4.5 games back to take it, but I think they only have about 12 wins left on their schedule which might be enough is the Padres did not play the Cubs the last 4 games of the season. But if I had to put money down right now as to who will come out of the NL West I would put it on the Giants.
It looks like Albert Pujols's cold streak will cost him any chance at a Triple Crown this season. It is a shame, because two weeks ago he lead the National League in home runs and RBIs and was only one point behind Joey Votto in batting average. Now Pujols is not even in the top 5 in the NL in batting average and is 3rd in RBIs.
Starlin Castro and Tyler Colvin have been the two bright spots for the Cubs this season. Castro looks to be the type of player who may win a couple batting titles in the next couple of years while Colvin seems like he will develop into an exciting everyday player. Now if only they could trade Zambrano and Soriano they might have the beginnings of a good young team.
The USA basketball team won its game against Russia today 89-79 and after the huge flap this week about the 72 Olympics I must report that it did not take 3 endings to finish the game. Now if only anyone cared about this basketball tournament…
It feels so good to be back writing about sports. Make sure you check back tomorrow as I examine what managers are going to be available at the end of this baseball season, and a recap of the first NFL game of the season.
Comments are always welcome
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